2011年6月4日 星期六

No Magic Jobs Number for Obama

By NATE SILVER

Make no mistake: The higher the unemployment rate in November 2012, the less likely President Obama is to win a second term. But we should be careful about asserting that there is any particular threshold at which Mr. Obama would go from favorite to underdog, or any magic number at which his re-election would either become impossible or a fait accompli. Historically, the relationship between the unemployment rate and a president?s performance at the next election is complicated and tenuous. Read more �

No Magic Jobs Number for Obama

We should be careful about asserting that there is any particular unemployment rate threshold at which Mr. Obama would go from favorite to underdog.

Romney Focuses on Obama in Announcing Candidacy

Mr. Romney?s potential Republican challengers have no intention of letting him anoint himself the party?s nominee.

The unexpected report from Moody?s puts a spur to sputtering talks between party leaders and the White House to reach an agreement on a long-term deficit-reduction plan.

Source: http://thecaucus.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/06/03/no-magic-jobs-number-for-obama/

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